Basin Discharge Data

Page status
Working page
Updated
2026-05-13

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Summary

Consolidated discharge data for Nepal's major river basins. Public sources reference these numbers; provenance varies.

Key Figure

Basin monsoon concentration comparison
Checked public basin sources consistently show strong monsoon concentration, even though the exact metric varies by source.

Average Annual Discharge at Nepal-India Border

Basin Area in Nepal (km²) Avg Discharge (m³/s) Annual Volume (BCM) Monsoon Share (%) Peak-to-Dry Ratio Primary Source
Koshi Basin 27,818 1,827 ~57.6 67–78% 25–50:1 WECS River Basin Plans and Hydropower Development Master Plan (2024)
Gandaki Basin 32,148 1,952 ~61.6 74–80% 22–30:1 WECS River Basin Plans and Hydropower Development Master Plan (2024)
Karnali Basin 43,153 1,256 ~39.6 65–72% 15–20:1 WECS River Basin Plans and Hydropower Development Master Plan (2024)
Mahakali Basin — ~600 — ~73% — WECS River Basin Plans and Hydropower Development Master Plan (2024)

Measurement Scope

These basin numbers need a scope label every time they are reused:

Measurement frame Example figure Meaning
WECS border model Koshi 1,827 m3/s Basin-scale modeled discharge at/near the Nepal-India border
Gauge / older NWP baseline Koshi ~1,409 m3/s at Chatara Station-specific gauged mean at an internal measurement point

Both can be valid at once. The conflict only appears when the measurement point is omitted.

Coverage / Method

  • WECS river basin plan 2024: MIKE SHE / MIKE Hydro Basin model-derived discharge at Nepal-India border for major basins. Includes climate-adjusted hydrology and sediment-transport coupling.
  • National Water Plan: Older gauge-based baseline with different measurement points and methodologies.
  • Peak-to-dry ratios: Basin-scale approximations derived from modeled monthly hydrographs. Individual tributaries and gauge stations may show different ratios.

National Aggregate

  • Total average annual runoff: ~225 BCM (National Water Plan estimate)
  • Only ~15 BCM had been utilized for economic and social purposes in the National Water Plan framing
  • 75%+ of river flow occurs in the wet season (June–September)

Dry-Season Stability by River Type

Type Dry-Season Stability Ratio Examples
Glacier-fed 0.30–0.50 of mean flow Upper Karnali, Arun
Mixed 0.15–0.30 of mean flow Trishuli, Marsyangdi
Rain-fed 0.05–0.15 of mean flow Bagmati, Kamala, Rapti

Caveats

  • Discharge figures are model-derived; gauge-based records may differ by basin and measurement point.
  • Peak-to-dry ratios are basin-scale approximations; individual tributaries may vary.
  • Monsoon share percentages reflect long-term averages; inter-annual variability (ENSO, IOD) can shift these bands.
  • The Karnali basin has the best dry-season stability but also the most remote infrastructure, so hydrological advantage does not translate directly to buildable projects.

Linked Data

  • nepal_basin_seasonality_baseline.csv — merged 9-basin seasonality table with basin type, seasonal splits, source notes, and caution flags.
  • The merged table adds medium-basin comparators that make the seasonality argument harder to flatten:
    • West Rapti: 73.5% of runoff in four monsoon months, yet still a dry-season deficit basin.
    • Babai: explicitly rain-fed, with 76% of runoff concentrated in monsoon months.
    • Mahakali: 73% of surface runoff in Jun-Sep despite its snow-fed border-river character.
  • Merged tributary notes also add a useful corrective case from the Tamakoshi basin: roughly 62% rain runoff, 20% baseflow, 5% snowmelt, and 13% glacier melt. That is why "high mountain" should not be used as shorthand for "glacier-dominated."

Linked Figures

Chart Specification

The current inline figure compares checked monsoon-concentration metrics across basins. A useful next visualization would overlay monthly flow profiles for all four major basins plus one medium-basin comparator on a single 12-month chart, with the monsoon window shaded. That would make Seasonal Mismatch visible as a shape, not only a percentage.

Sources