Nepal Solar Resource Zones
- Page status
- Working page
- Updated
- 2026-05-12
Summary
This data page summarizes Nepal's solar resource zones using GHI, DNI, elevation, clear-sky days, monsoon penalties, operating-zone tables, and map-spec classification rules.
The quantitative companion to Solar Resource Geography of Nepal. Table-first; map-spec at the end.
Country-weighted headline
| Metric | Value | Comparison |
|---|---|---|
| Mean GHI (country, 10-yr) | 4.7–5.0 kWh/m²/day | ≈ northern India (4.8), southern Spain (4.9), US Georgia (5.0) |
| GHI range (min–max, deployable zones) | 4.2–6.5 kWh/m²/day | 55% spread across country |
| Mean DNI (trans-Himalayan) | 5.8–6.8 kWh/m²/day | ≈ Rajasthan (6.3), northern Chile (7.0) |
| Clear-sky days / year (trans-Him.) | ~260–290 | ≈ Leh, Atacama |
| Clear-sky days / year (Terai) | ~200–230 | ≈ Gangetic plain |
| Clear-sky days / year (mid-hill) | ~150–180 | ≈ coastal Kerala; worst in Nepal |
| Monsoon GHI penalty (Terai) | −25% vs April peak | Jun–Sep |
| Monsoon GHI penalty (mid-hill) | −35 to −45% vs April peak | Worst in country |
| Monsoon GHI penalty (trans-Him.) | −5 to −15% vs April peak | Rain-shadow intact |
| Winter GHI (Dec–Feb, Terai) | 4.0–4.5 kWh/m²/day | Still above 50% of US-California-Central-Valley annual mean |
| Latitude span | 26.35° N – 30.43° N | ±4° band → peak-sun angle varies ±10% between solstices |
The winter-GHI row is the single most important number for the Solar–Hydro Complementarity argument: Terai dry-season GHI is still ~85% of its April peak, at exactly the time the RoR hydro fleet drops to 30–40% of its monsoon peak.
District-level table (operating zone summary)
Values are 10-year means from World Bank ESMAP pyranometer deployment (2015–2019) cross-referenced with Global Solar Atlas (Solargis) satellite-derived estimates. Districts aggregated into representative zone rows for readability; full by-district tables live in the data/raw/geopolitics_climate/ source material once the WB ESMAP dataset is fully imported (see Coverage gaps below).
| Zone | Representative districts | Mean elevation (m) | GHI (kWh/m²/day) | Clear-sky days | Best use |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Trans-Himalayan rain-shadow | Mustang, Dolpa, Upper Humla, Upper Manang, Upper Mugu, Jumla (upper) | 2,800–4,200 | 5.8–6.5 | 260–290 | Research / mini-grid / long-dated export |
| B1. Central Terai | Rautahat, Bara, Parsa, Chitwan (south), Nawalparasi, Rupandehi, Kapilvastu | 80–200 | 4.9–5.2 | 210–230 | Utility greenfield + agrivoltaics |
| B2. Eastern Terai | Jhapa, Morang, Sunsari, Saptari, Siraha, Dhanusha, Mahottari, Sarlahi | 60–180 | 4.8–5.1 | 200–220 | Utility greenfield + agrivoltaics |
| B3. Western Terai | Banke, Bardiya, Kailali, Kanchanpur | 100–250 | 5.0–5.3 | 220–240 | Utility greenfield; early grid reach |
| C1. Kathmandu Valley | Kathmandu, Lalitpur, Bhaktapur | 1,300 | 4.2–4.6 | 150–175 | Rooftop only (pollution haze penalty) |
| C2. Pokhara / Gandaki hills | Kaski, Syangja, Tanahu, Gorkha, Lamjung | 800–1,800 | 4.4–4.8 | 165–185 | Rooftop + hydro co-location |
| C3. Eastern mid-hills | Dhankuta, Bhojpur, Khotang, Okhaldhunga, Udayapur, Ramechhap, Dolakha | 1,000–2,200 | 4.3–4.7 | 160–180 | Rooftop + mini-grid; hydro co-location |
| C4. Western mid-hills | Palpa, Arghakhanchi, Gulmi, Baglung, Parbat, Myagdi, Pyuthan, Rolpa, Salyan, Surkhet, Dailekh | 900–2,100 | 4.4–4.8 | 170–190 | Rooftop + mini-grid; hydro co-location |
| D. High Himalaya (non-siteable) | Upper slopes of Taplejung, Sankhuwasabha, Solukhumbu, Rasuwa, northern Gorkha | 3,500–5,500 | 4.5–5.5 | varies | Non-deployable (slope, conservation, snow load) |
| E. Remote Karnali | Humla (lower), Mugu (lower), Dolpa (lower), Bajura, Bajhang | 1,500–3,200 | 5.0–5.8 | 200–240 | Off-grid mini-grid (track 3) |
Zone characterisation for planning use
| Zone | Optimal configuration | Typical LCOE (NPR/kWh) | Grid proximity | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A | Small utility + mini-grid | 7.5–9.0 (grid-inclusive) | Poor (>100 km) | Off-grid LCOE ~NPR 18–25; diesel-displacement |
| B1/B2/B3 | Utility greenfield + agrivoltaics | 4.5–5.5 | Excellent (<10 km) | Workhorse of next 5 GW |
| C1 | Rooftop | 6.0–7.5 (retail displacement) | Distribution | Net-metered |
| C2/C3/C4 | Rooftop + hydro co-location | 5.0–6.5 (co-loc); 6.5–8 (rooftop) | Mixed | Hydro-site archetype |
| D | Not deployable | — | — | Excluded from planning |
| E | Off-grid + BESS | 12–18 (grant-supported) | None | Diesel-displacement valuation |
The single most under-argued number
Winter-month GHI in the Terai is 4.0–4.5 kWh/m²/day. A fixed-tilt ground-mount 1 MWp system at Zone B with 17% system PR produces ~4.0 MWh/day in December. 1 GW = 4 GWh/day = 120 GWh/month.
The Nepal system's January dry-month hydropower shortfall is 250–400 GWh/month (back-calculated from NEA monthly generation records FY 2024/25). **3 GW of Terai solar closes the January shortfall by 100% on a monthly-energy basis** (not on a 6 pm peak basis — that's the BESS / reservoir-peaking problem per Solar–Hydro Complementarity).
This is the key quantitative row for comparing solar targeting assumptions against winter hydro shortfall estimates.
Coverage / Method
The page combines WB ESMAP solar-resource assessment material, Global Solar Atlas cross-reference values, AEPC framework context, and zone classifications used by the map specification. Districts are aggregated into representative operating zones for readability, while the map-spec section defines the class logic used by the explorer-facing solar zone layer.
Caveats
The zone rows are planning-scale summaries, not parcel screening or engineering siting results. Several higher-resolution inputs listed below are not yet ingested into the workspace, and district aggregation can hide local slope, grid, land, conservation, haze, and social constraints.
Coverage gaps / data we'd like
| Dataset | Source | Status |
|---|---|---|
| WB ESMAP pyranometer hourly series (14 stations, 2015–19) | World Bank / AEPC | Publicly released; not yet ingested into this project |
| Global Solar Atlas high-resolution tiles (WMS) | Solargis / WBG | Available as XYZ; to wire into explorer — see map-spec |
| AEPC yearbook district-level SHS counts | AEPC | Partial (to 2021); later years patchy |
| NREL NSRDB Nepal subset | NREL | Available; not yet ingested |
| Nepal GHI monthly ERA5 reanalysis | Copernicus | Available; not ingested |
| District shapefile with solar-resource join | derived | To create for map integration |
Map Specification
The wiki explorer is intended to carry four solar map layers, indexed in Map Inventory:
solar_ghi_zones— polygon layer, Zone A/B/C/D/E as classed polygons colored by mean GHI. Country-scale infographic.solar_plants— point layer of operating + PPA-signed + tendered utility plants (status-coded symbology). See Solar Fleet Inventory.solar_suitability— derived polygon combining Zone B + slope < 3° + <10 km to 132+ kV substation. This is the utility-scale suitability overlay, not a parcel-level siting decision.floating_pv_candidates— point/polygon for Kulekhani Cascade, Tanahu Hydropower Project, Budhigandaki Hydroelectric Project, Dudhkoshi Storage Hydroelectric Project, Mugu Karnali Storage HEP, Uttarganga Storage Hydropower Project.
Zone polygons — classification scheme for solar_ghi_zones
class_A: GHI >= 5.7, elevation >= 2500, trans-Himalayan rain-shadow mask
class_B: GHI 4.7-5.3, slope < 3%, Terai district mask
class_C: GHI 4.2-4.8, mid-hill district mask, elevation 800-2200
class_D: GHI >= 4.5, slope > 15% OR in conservation area OR elevation > 3500
class_E: GHI 4.8-5.8, elevation 1500-3200, remote Karnali/Sudurpaschim districts
Legend palette:
- A: #ef4444 (red — high resource, high friction)
- B: #10b981 (green — workhorse zone)
- C: #f59e0b (amber — rooftop / distributed)
- D: #9ca3af (gray — non-deployable)
- E: #8b5cf6 (purple — off-grid only)
Chart / infographic call-outs
Three public-facing figures that should anchor the zone story:
- Nepal GHI map with overlay of 132 kV grid. Shows the Terai zone's coincidence with grid density.
- Monthly GHI + hydro output stacked bars. The cleanest visual of Solar–Hydro Complementarity.
- Zone × LCOE bar chart with hydro small-RoR reference line. Shows the crossover per-zone, making clear that Zone B Terai is already below hydro.
Related
- Solar Resource Geography of Nepal — the narrative companion
- Solar–Hydro Complementarity — what the monthly / winter numbers mean for the fleet
- Solar–Hydro Complementarity Profile — hour-by-hour and month-by-month
- World Bank ESMAP Nepal Solar and Wind Resource Measurement — the underlying measured data
- Global Solar Atlas (Nepal coverage) — the satellite-derived cross-reference
- Map Inventory — where this plugs into the explorer