World Bank Nepal Country Economic Memorandum (2025)

The World Bank's 2025 account of Nepal's growth constraints, including power-sector expansion, trade and enterprise reliability evidence.

Page status
Verified core
Updated
2026-04-14
Last reviewed
2026-07-19
Review due
2027-03-01

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Summary

The World Bank's comprehensive economic assessment of Nepal with a significant energy/hydropower chapter. Provides the strongest international-institution perspective on Nepal's energy transition, trade patterns, and system constraints.

Key Data Points

  • Hydropower capacity reached ~2,990 MW by end-2024
  • >70% of capacity added since 2018 came from IPPs
  • IPPs accounted for 64% of total installed hydropower by 2024
  • >90% of hydropower is RoR or PRoR
  • Trade shift: 2018 imported ~2,582 GWh / exported ~3 GWh → 2023 imported ~1,895 GWh / exported ~1,946 GWh
  • Scheduled load shedding eliminated in 2018
  • 76% of firms still reported regular power outages in 2022
  • >13% of firms reported sales losses above 10% from power cuts
  • System losses: ~12.7% in 2024
  • September 2024 floods/landslides damaged 11 operational projects with >600 MW combined capacity

Relevance

Key source for the IPP-driven growth story, the trade transformation timeline, and the reliability gap (load shedding gone but outages persist). The firm-level outage data (76%) is uniquely valuable for the reliability argument in Stranded Generation. Trade shift data central to Electricity Trade Time Series.

Limitations

  • Snapshot date: Published March 2025; covers data through end-2024. Does not capture 2025 capacity additions or trade shifts.
  • Firm-level data: The 76% outage figure and 13% sales-loss figure are from a World Bank enterprise survey (2022) — representative but not annual-update series.
  • Trade data: The 2023 import/export figures are calendar-year approximations from the report narrative, not identical to NEA fiscal-year accounting.